The Policy pursued by the Trump administration at the beginning of the second presidency. First quarter of 2025
The Policy
pursued by the Trump administration at the beginning of the second presidency.
First quarter of 2025.
By: Nika
Chitadze. Professor of the International Black Sea University
The paper discusses
all the important domestic and foreign policy priorities that the newly elected
US President, Donald Trump, has pursued or his future goals during the first
months of his presidency.
As is known, the
future development of the world largely depends on the policy pursued by the
only superpower on our planet, the United States.
Keywords: Donald Trump, Presidency, USA,
Internal Policy, Foreign Policy, National
Security
Introduction
As is well known,
the second presidency of the 47th President of the United States, Donald Trump,
began on January 20, 2025, following his inauguration (The White House, 2025).
Trump assumed office following the 2024 presidential election, in which he defeated
the Democratic Party candidate, Vice President Kamala Harris.
Trump entered office
with an ambitious foreign policy program based on the isolationist principle of
"America First" and political realism (The White House, 2025).
Trump's foreign policy is characterized by a reconsideration of the post-World
War II multilateralism and transatlanticism, as well as the active use of
economic pressure to achieve foreign policy goals. As part of this strategy,
the United States again withdrew from the World Health Organization and the
Paris Climate Agreement and initiated trade wars by imposing tariffs on goods
from all countries. Trump became the oldest president, taking office at age 78,
several months ahead of the previous president, Joe Biden. Trump became the
second president in U.S. history (after Grover Cleveland) whose second term
began with a gap between his first term (Nelson, 2003). Trump's running mate,
J.D. Vance, became one of the youngest vice presidents and the first vice
president from the millennial generation. Because Trump served as president
from 2017 to 2021, he will not be able to run for president in 2028, as the
22nd Amendment to the U.S. Constitution prohibits one person from serving more
than two terms (Constitution Annotated, 2025).
2024 Presidential
Election
Donald Trump, who
served as President of the United States from 2017 to 2021, announced his
candidacy for the Republican Party nomination in the upcoming presidential
election on November 15, 2022 (The White House, 2025). This followed the
midterm congressional elections, which resulted in a less favorable outcome for
the Republicans than expected.
Trump's campaign was
complicated by four criminal charges filed in 2023, including falsifying
financial records of The Trump Organization to conceal hush money payments to
porn actress Stormy Daniels through his lawyer, Michael Cohen; mishandling
classified documents found at his Mar-a-Lago estate and obstructing their
recovery; The storming of the Capitol by Trump supporters and attempts to
overturn the results of the 2020 presidential election nationwide and in
Georgia, where Trump's lead over his rival, Joe Biden, was minimal (Chitadze,
2025). The former president faced a total of over 700 years in prison, but the
Supreme Court, after reviewing the charges, recognized Trump's partial immunity
for actions he committed while president. This decision allowed Trump to
participate in the Republican Party primaries and presidential elections in all
states, including Illinois, Colorado, and Maine, where he was initially barred.
Despite this, on May 30, 2024, Trump was found guilty of all charges in the
Stormy Daniels case, becoming the first president in U.S. history to be
convicted of a crime (Chitadze, 2025).
During the
primaries, Donald Trump faced opposition from several former members of his
administration who expressed disagreement with his policies. Among them were
Vice President Mike Pence, former U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations Nikki
Haley, and Florida Governor Ron DeSantis, who was initially seen as an
alternative to Trump. Trump maintained a lead in the polls throughout the race,
leading the primaries to be often referred to as a "race to second
place," implying Trump's expected victory. Having won the June 2024
primary, Trump became the Republican nominee and chose Senator J.D. Vance as
his running mate (BBC, 2024).
During the campaign,
Trump suffered two assassination attempts: on July 13, 2024, at a rally in
Pennsylvania, in which he was shot in the ear, and on September 15, 2024, at
his golf club in Florida.
Trump's opponent,
the Democratic Party nominee and incumbent President Joe Biden, initially
sought reelection, as he had in 2020, and won the primaries comfortably with
little opposition from his fellow party members. However, after unsuccessful
debates with Trump, Biden withdrew his candidacy and endorsed Vice President
Kamala Harris as his replacement. In August 2024, Harris became the Democratic
Party nominee (BBC, 2024).
On November 5, 2024,
Donald Trump won the presidential election, receiving 312 electoral votes
(versus Kamala Harris's 226). In the popular vote, Trump received 49.8% (77.3
million) of the vote, while Harris received 48.3% (75 million) (Presidency,
2024). Trump won all the swing states (Arizona, Wisconsin, Georgia, Michigan,
Nevada, Pennsylvania, and North Carolina), improving on his previous
performance in every state except Washington, D.C., and Utah. Congressional
elections were held concurrently with the presidential election, in which
Republicans retained a narrow majority in the House of Representatives and
gained control of the Senate, handing Trump a significant advantage
(Presidency, 2024).
Transition and
Inauguration
Donald Trump's
transition period began on November 6, 2024, after Kamala Harris conceded her
defeat. During the transition, Trump announced cabinet nominations and
ambassadorial appointments. On November 13, Donald Trump and President Joe
Biden met at the White House, where Biden promised his recent rival that he
expected a peaceful transfer of power (The New York Times, 2024).
On December 17, the
Electoral College certified the election results, and on January 6, 2025, the
Senate declared Trump's victory (The New York Times, 2024).
The inauguration of
Donald Trump, the 47th President of the United States, took place on January
20, 2025, in the Capitol Rotunda. Upon taking office, Trump signed a record 42
executive orders and made 115 personnel decisions. With his first order, Trump
rescinded 78 "harmful" executive orders and memoranda of former
President Joe Biden, 17 of which he had signed in January 2025 (in particular,
the order removing Cuba from the U.S. list of state sponsors of terrorism).
Trump signed the order. Among the documents signed on the first day were an
order resuming the United States' withdrawal from the Paris Climate Agreement
(Biden returned the country to the agreement in 2021) (Chitadze, 2025) and an
executive order directing all federal employees to immediately return to their
offices, ending the work-from-home policy actively implemented by the previous
administration during the COVID-19 pandemic. That same day, Trump signed
executive orders withdrawing the United States from the World Health
Organization, suspending all U.S. development assistance programs to other
countries for 90 days (to ensure that such assistance is consistent with the
new administration's policy objectives), and postponing the ban of TikTok in
the United States for at least 75 days (Chitadze, 2025).
Cabinet
Senator J.D. Vance
of Ohio, author of the bestseller "Hillby Elegies," became Vice
President. Vance had previously criticized Trump's policies, but subsequently
reconsidered his views and became a key supporter during his presidential
campaign. Marco Rubio, Trump's opponent in the 2016 Republican primaries, was
appointed Secretary of State. In Trump's first cabinet, Rubio served as a key
informal foreign policy adviser, lobbying to maintain the trade embargo against
Cuba and supporting Juan Guaidó as Venezuela's "interim president,"
earning him the nickname "Secretary of State for Latin America." Pete
Hegseth (Presidency, 2024), a veteran of the wars in Afghanistan and Iraq and
Fox News host, became Secretary of Defense.
Several members of
the second cabinet hail from the Democratic Party: Secretary of Health and
Human Services Robert Kennedy Jr. (a Democrat for over 50 years, leaving the
party in 2023 and becoming independent) and Director of National Intelligence
Tulsi Gabbard (elected as a Democrat in the House of Representatives, leaving
the party in 2022 and joining the Republican Party in 2024). Attorney General
Pam Bondi is also a former Democrat, but switched party affiliations in 2000,
joining the Republican Party. Congressman Matt Gaetz was originally slated to
be appointed Attorney General, but his nomination was withdrawn due to
reputational risks and a sexual misconduct scandal (Presidency, 2024).
Trump's cabinet
became the richest in modern history: it included 13 billionaires, whose
combined net worth was estimated at nearly $500 billion. Despite lacking a
formal position, the richest man in the cabinet, Elon Musk, wielded significant
influence in the cabinet as head of the Department of Government Effectiveness.
Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick, former head of Cantor Fitzgerald, also
joined the cabinet. Other wealthy cabinet members include Scott Bessent,
founder of Key Square Group and economic adviser to Trump's presidential
campaign (Treasury Secretary); Kelly Loeffler, former senator from Georgia and
co-owner of the Atlanta Dream women's basketball team (Small Business
Administration Administrator); and Doug Burgum, former governor of North Dakota
and one of Trump's rivals in the 2024 primaries (Interior Secretary) (Chitadze,
2025).
Domestic Politics
Military
Pentagon Purge
After winning the
presidential election, President-elect Donald Trump's team, as part of a plan
to reorganize the Department of Defense, began creating lists of officers to be
removed. These officers were associated with former Chairman of the Joint Chiefs
of Staff (JCS) Mark Milley, who, upon his appointment in 2019, repeatedly
publicly criticized President Trump, calling him, among other things, "the
most dangerous man alive" and "a fascist to the core" (Chitadze,
2025).
Trump's team
considered creating a "war council" of retired military personnel to
purge the armed forces of "war generals," who, in Trump's view, were
"more focused on political correctness than on fighting America's enemies."
In February 2025, Donald Trump carried out an unprecedented reshuffle within
the Department of Defense, dismissing five generals and admirals, including
Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Charles Brown, who had been appointed to
the position by President Joe Biden in 2023. The early dismissal of Brown, who
reportedly lacked the trust of the Trump administration, broke the tradition of
retaining the position of Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff across
successive administrations, regardless of the president's political affiliation.
Furthermore, the first female Secretary of the Navy, Lisa Franchetti, the Vice
Chief of Staff of the Air Force, and the heads of the legal services of the
Army, Navy, and Air Force were also dismissed (Chitadze, 2025).
Artificial
Intelligence
On January 21, 2025,
Trump, along with OpenAI CEO Sam Altman, SoftBank CEO Masayoshi Son, and Oracle
CEO Larry Ellison, announced the creation of The Stargate Project. Three
companies will invest US$100 billion in the project, with investments expected
to increase to US$500 billion by 2029, creating 100,000 new jobs (Chitadze,
2024).
Immigration Policy
During the
presidential campaign, Donald Trump repeatedly advocated for stricter
immigration policies and promised to carry out the largest expulsion of
undocumented immigrants in the country's history. He noted that the
"overly lenient" policies of the Joe Biden administration had led to
the United States becoming a Third World country.
On January 20, 2025,
on his first day in office, Trump declared a state of emergency at the
US-Mexico border due to the migrant crisis and restricted birthright
citizenship.
On January 29, 2025,
President Trump signed the Laken Riley Act, which requires federal law
enforcement to detain undocumented immigrants suspected of theft and violent
crimes, and ordered the preparation of the Guantanamo Bay military base in Cuba
to house 30,000 of the worst undocumented immigrants (Mtavari Arkhi, 2025).
In early February
2025, El Salvador agreed to accept "undesirable" migrants deported
from the United States. To hold the "most dangerous" deportees,
Salvadoran President Nayib Bukele proposed the "mega-prison" CECOT
(Terrorist Detention Center), which opened in 2023 and can accommodate
approximately 40,000 inmates. According to the Associated Press, under this
agreement, the United States is to pay El Salvador $6 million for the detention
of 300 prisoners for one year (Mtavari arkhi, 2025).
In February 2025,
the US State Department designated the Venezuelan criminal group Tren de Aragua
(TdA) as a terrorist organization, citing its involvement in kidnappings,
corporate raids, and attacks on US law enforcement. On March 15, 2025, US
President Donald Trump signed an executive order expediting deportation of
suspected TdA members from the US, citing the group's "engagement in
hostile acts" against the United States "at the direction" of
the Venezuelan government and the use of the Resident Enemy Nationals Act of
1798 (which has only been used three times in US history, specifically during
World War I and World War II), which allows authorities to deport migrants
without going through standard procedures (Chitadze, 2025).
On the same day,
March 15, 2025, 137 Venezuelan citizens subject to special deportation
procedures, 101 individuals subject to standard deportation procedures, and 23
Salvadoran citizens suspected of involvement with the MS-13 criminal group were
expelled from the US to El Salvador. Upon arrival in El Salvador, these 238
Venezuelans were detained in a terrorist detention center for one year (with
the possibility of extension). However, just before their deportation, on March
15, the same day, Chief Justice James Boasberg of the United States District
Court for the District of Columbia issued a ruling prohibiting their
deportation (the presidential order permitting the application of the Enemy
Nationals Act during peacetime was challenged in court, and its application was
prohibited for 14 days as a precautionary measure) (Mtavari Arkhi, 2025).
According to
official US data, a total of 142,000 foreigners were deported from the country
between January 20 and April 29, 2025. UN High Commissioner for Human Rights
Volker Türk stated that the mass deportation of foreigners from the United
States, particularly to countries other than their countries of origin, is a
matter of grave concern. Mass detentions and deportations of undocumented
immigrants sparked widespread protests, particularly in June 2025, leading to
mass protests and riots in Los Angeles (Mtavari Arkhi, 205).
Social Policy
Donald Trump
eliminated all diversity, equity, and inclusion (DEI) programs in the federal
government. He declared a need to overhaul personnel policies, emphasizing that
individual initiative, skill, productivity, and hard work should be rewarded,
without regard for DEI programs. Trump enshrined in law the permanent existence
of two genders—male and female—banned transgender women from competing on
women's sports teams, and reinstated the ban on transgender people serving in
the military. The dismantling of DEI programs in the federal government has had
an impact on the corporate sector, with major US companies such as McDonald's,
Meta, Walmart, Harley-Davidson, John Deere, Lowe's, and Google, which had
previously stated commitments to diversity, equity, and inclusion, watering
down or abandoning their commitments in this area.
Judicial System
On January 20, 2025,
Trump signed an executive order establishing the death penalty and supplying
states with execution drugs. The document directs the Attorney General to seek
death sentences for particularly serious crimes, including the murder of law enforcement
officers and serious crimes committed by undocumented immigrants. On the same
day, Trump granted full pardons to more than 1,500 people convicted of storming
the Capitol in 2021 (Chitadze, 2025).
On January 23, 2025,
Trump ordered the declassification of all documents on the assassinations of
John F. Kennedy, Robert F. Kennedy, and Martin Luther King (Chitadze, 2025).
Economy
Trump took office
during a period of economic recovery in the US following the coronavirus
recession, with relatively low unemployment and declining inflation. Despite
this, many Americans were still feeling the effects of a sharp spike in
inflation in 2021–2023, which, incidentally, partly contributed to Trump's
reelection.
Trade Wars
On January 26, 2025,
Trump imposed a 25% tariff on all goods shipped to the United States from
Colombia after the country refused to accept deportation flights for illegal
immigrants (York, Duranter, 2025). That same day, Colombian President Gustavo
Petro agreed to accept deportees and even dispatched his personal presidential
jet to pick them up "to ensure the dignified return of Colombian citizens
scheduled to arrive in the country this morning following deportation
flights."
Tariffs against
Colombia were suspended. On February 1, 2025, Trump imposed tariffs of 25% on
Canada and Mexico (excluding Canadian crude oil and energy imports, which are
subject to a 10% tariff) and 10% on China (York, Duranter, 2025). On February
3, Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum agreed to immediately deploy 10,000
National Guard troops to guard the Mexican-American border to prevent the
trafficking of fentanyl and other drugs from Mexico to the United States in
exchange for Trump suspending tariffs on Mexican goods for one month. A similar
deal was reached with Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau regarding
increased border security. On April 2, 2025, Trump declared a national
emergency in the United States due to a "trade imbalance that threatens
national security" and announced the decision to impose import duties of
10% on imports from 185 countries, as well as increased "mirror"
duties on supplies from countries that applied asymmetric trade restrictions in
trade with the United States (Cambodia - 49%, Vietnam - 46%, Sri Lanka - 44%,
Bangladesh - 37%, Thailand - 36%, China - 34%, Taiwan - 32%, Indonesia - 32%,
Switzerland - 31%, South Africa - 30%, South Korea - 25%, Japan - 24%, Malaysia
- 24%, the EU - 20%, Israel - 17%). These duties not only affect imported goods
that are critical to US production and national security. Separate tariffs of
25% were imposed on all foreign automobiles imported into the United States on
April 3. The imposition of the tariffs triggered a stock market crash and increased
the likelihood of a recession in the United States. On April 9, Trump postponed
the imposition of tariffs for 90 days for more than 75 countries that had
expressed a desire to discuss the introduction of trade barriers (York,
Duranter, 2025). Meanwhile, all previously imposed tariffs on China were
retained.
Federal Government
Massive Layoffs of
Federal Employees
Immediately after
taking office, Trump initiated massive layoffs of federal government employees
to cut costs: by
April 1, 2025, approximately 60,000 people had been laid off (Chitadze, 2025).
Suspension of
Funding for Various Programs
The Donald Trump
administration suspended both domestic and international aid programs pending a
review of their compliance with the president's policies. On January 28, 2025,
Trump ordered a freeze on domestic and foreign federal aid, with the exception
of Social Security and Medicare, as well as emergency food programs and
military aid to Israel and Egypt. The freeze also affected one of the world's
largest aid providers, the United States Agency for International Development
(USAID). Elon Musk, who oversees the Department of Government Effectiveness,
declared USAID a "criminal organization beyond repair," adding that
it was a "viper's nest of radical left-wing Marxists who hated
America." On February 1, USAID's official website and its X social media
account were shut down. Effective February 7, USAID placed directly employed
employees from all offices and representative offices on administrative leave.
Exceptions were made for employees responsible for critical functions, as well
as key management and staff of designated programs. According to Reuters, the
Trump administration intends to lay off 97% of USAID staff, leaving only 294 of
its 10,000 employees (Chitadze, 2025).
Foreign Policy
The foreign policy
of Donald Trump's second administration is characterized by expansionism.
Historians compare it to the foreign policy of the 25th President, William
McKinley (1897–1901), who initiated US expansion beyond North America into the
Eastern Hemisphere. Trump himself expressed admiration for McKinley, describing
him as a "great but greatly underappreciated" president (American
Progress, 2025).
The core principles
of the Trump administration's policies were presented in the "Project
2025" report, published in 2023. Although Trump's team has repeatedly
denied any involvement in the report, more than half of the executive orders
issued at the beginning of his second presidency fully or partially reflected
proposals from "Project 2025" (American Progress, 2025).
Expansionism
Greenland
In 2019, Donald
Trump, under the influence of his close friend Ronald Lauder, began considering
purchasing the Danish autonomous region of Greenland, considering it
strategically important to the United States. The Danish government abruptly
rejected the offer, leading to the cancellation of Trump's planned visit to
Copenhagen and a deterioration in bilateral relations (American Progress,
2025).
In late 2024, after
winning the presidential election, Trump again expressed interest in purchasing
Greenland. Experts attribute the purchase of Greenland to the prospects for
developing its rich deposits of rare earth minerals, which are critical to the
United States. Seeking to reduce dependence on China, the world's leading
producer of these elements, Trump sees the acquisition of Greenland as an
opportunity to strengthen the United States' position and prevent China from
becoming a partner in Greenland's resource development. Greenland's annexation
is also of interest to the United States because of the potential new trade
routes opened by melting Arctic ice. Trump stated that it was "absolutely
essential" for the United States to own Greenland to "ensure national
security and freedom throughout the world." However, when asked by a
reporter whether the United States would use military force against Panama or
Greenland for its own purposes, Trump replied that he "cannot guarantee
that" (American Progress, 2025).
In response to
Trump's statements about Greenland, Denmark increased its defense budget,
expressing a willingness to engage in dialogue on cooperation but rejecting the
possibility of annexing the island.
Panama Canal
Trump criticizes the
Torrijos-Carter Treaties, which ceded the Panama Canal to Panama. In his
inaugural address, Trump described the treaties as a "foolish gift that
should never have been given" and promised to "take back" the
canal from the United States. Trump accused Panama of charging the United
States "exorbitant fees" for using the canal and hinted at China's
growing influence in this vital waterway. In early February 2025, US Secretary
of State Marco Rubio toured Latin America, including Panama (American Progress,
2025). In a meeting with President José Raúl Mulino, Rubio warned him that the
current state of the trade route was "unacceptable" and that Panama
would need to "immediately change" the US approach to the canal.
Following talks with Rubio, Mulino announced that Panama's broad agreement to
support China's Belt and Road Initiative would not be renewed and could be
terminated early (American Progress, 2025).
Russia-Ukraine War
From the very
beginning of the Russia-Ukraine War in 2022, Donald Trump called on the parties
to the conflict to seek a peaceful resolution. If he won the presidential
election, he proposed organizing direct negotiations between Moscow and Kyiv
that would "produce results within 24 hours" (Journal of Social
Sciences and Humanities, 2023). Trump believed that Ukraine would have to cede
its claims to Crimea and Donbas to end the conflict. Trump repeatedly
criticized his predecessor, Joe Biden, for providing military aid to Ukraine
and believed that "the failed withdrawal of US troops from Afghanistan
pushed [Russian President] Vladimir Putin to launch military action in
Ukraine." According to Trump, Biden, by supporting Ukraine, was
"systematically, but perhaps unconsciously" pushing the world toward
World War III (Journal of Social Sciences and Humanities, 2023).
On February 12,
2025, amidst intense diplomatic activity surrounding the Russia-Ukraine
conflict, several important events took place. The first meeting of the Ukraine
Defense Contact Group since Trump's inauguration took place in Brussels. For
the first time, the United Kingdom, rather than the United States, chaired the
group. At the contact group meeting, US Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth stated
that returning Ukraine to its pre-2014 borders was an "unrealistic
goal" for a peace settlement, adding that any attempt to retake the entire
territory "will only prolong the war and cause more suffering" (BBC,
2025). Hegseth called on European countries to "step into the arena"
and assume greater responsibility for the continent's security, emphasizing
that the United States would not be able to send troops to Ukraine as
peacekeepers. Concurrently, US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent arrived in Kyiv
to present the Ukrainian side with a draft agreement on rare earth metals,
according to which Ukraine agrees to transfer access to metals worth $500
billion to Washington. That same day, Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin held
their first public telephone conversation.
In April 2025,
Russia-US-Ukraine negotiations reached an impasse. The US proposed a plan that
included recognition of Crimea and part of the Donbas region as Russian
territory, Ukraine's refusal to join NATO, and the conclusion of economic
agreements between Moscow and Washington. Ukraine rejected these conditions,
claiming they contradicted the country's Constitution and amounted to
capitulation. Trump expressed disappointment with Zelenskyy's position and
threatened to cut off military aid to Ukraine unless progress was made in the
negotiations. This again fueled tensions in US-Ukraine relations (RBC, 2025).
Russia
On February 12,
2025, President Trump held his first telephone conversation with Russian
President Vladimir Putin. The 90-minute conversation was described by both
parties as "lengthy and very productive." During the talks, the
leaders discussed a number of issues, centered on the situation surrounding
Russia's invasion of Ukraine and the current nature of the conflict. Following
the conversation, President Trump announced his agreement to begin immediate
negotiations to end hostilities in Ukraine. Both sides expressed their
intention to work "very closely" to find a diplomatic solution to the
conflict (TASS, 2025).
Shortly after the
president's phone call, negotiations between the two countries' delegations
took place in Saudi Arabia on February 18. The American side was represented by
Secretary of State Marco Rubio, National Security Advisor Michael Waltz, and
Special Presidential Envoy for Russia Steve Witkoff. The Russian side was
represented by Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov, Presidential Aide Yuri Ushakov,
and RDIF CEO Kirill Dmitriev. Saudi Foreign Minister Faisal bin Farhan Al Saud
and National Security Advisor Musaad bin Mohammed Al Aiban also attended the
meeting as mediators. One of the key achievements of the negotiations was the
agreement to restore the full functioning of diplomatic missions.
The two sides also
agreed to establish high-level teams for negotiations on the Russian-Ukrainian
war (Politico, 2025).
The exclusion of
Ukraine from the US-Russian talks was a sharp departure from the Biden
administration's foreign policy principle of "nothing about Ukraine
without Ukraine." President Zelenskyy, who had planned to visit Saudi
Arabia just after the Russian-US talks, canceled the visit to avoid
"legitimizing" the negotiations (Politico, 2025).
For the first time
since 2022, the US did not co-sponsor a UN General Assembly resolution
condemning Russia's actions on the third anniversary of the invasion. Instead,
it proposed its own version, "Path to Peace," with softer language.
The document expressed sorrow over the "tragic loss of life in the
conflict" and emphasized the role of the UN in maintaining international
peace and the peaceful resolution of disputes. Ukraine introduced its own
resolution condemning Russia's actions, calling for an end to the conflict by
2025, and the protection of its territorial integrity within its
internationally recognized borders. The United States explained its position by
arguing that adopting a resolution hostile to one of the parties to the
conflict would not contribute to a peaceful settlement (Politico, 2025).
However, after European countries amended the American draft, the United States
abstained from voting.
As negotiations
progressed, the Trump administration became increasingly divided over
negotiations with Russia, creating two opposing poles. Retired Lieutenant
General Keith Kellogg, who served as special envoy for Ukraine and Russia,
supported Donald Trump's desire to end the war in Ukraine but took a more
critical stance toward Russia than other administration officials. Kellogg
stated that Ukraine was not prepared to unilaterally recognize Russia's
sovereignty over the four regions annexed in 2022. In February 2025, Kellogg
lost the White House's trust because he hired Heather Nauert, a
Ukrainian-friendly adviser, as his adviser and because he tolerated Ukrainian
government criticism of the Trump administration (Politico, 2025). Russian
negotiators also believed Kellogg was "overly sympathetic" to Kyiv.
In March 2025, Kellogg was removed from negotiations with Russia, relegated to
serving as special envoy for Ukraine.
Special envoy for
the Middle East, Steve Witkoff, who was tasked with negotiating with Russian
President Vladimir Putin, took a position opposite Kellogg's. Witkoff, who
played a central role in the presidential administration's foreign policy and
earned Donald Trump's trust by securing a ceasefire in the Gaza Strip before
Trump took office, expressed greater optimism about negotiations with Moscow
and assured Trump of Russia's readiness for a peaceful settlement. According to
Witkoff, the fastest way to achieve a ceasefire would be to recognize Russian
sovereignty over four Ukrainian regions, which effectively reflected one of
Russia's demands on Ukraine. Furthermore, Witkoff, in support of his claims,
stated that the populations of the annexed regions, having voted in referendums
unrecognized by the US in September 2022, voted for continued Russian rule.
Although Witkoff received support from Republican Party skeptics of Ukraine's
support, his proposals sparked outrage among other Republicans, who believed the
Trump administration had turned too sharply toward Russia. Witkoff met with
Putin on numerous occasions and later spoke favorably of him, calling him
"very smart" and "a great guy" (Interfax, 2025).
Ukraine
In February 2025,
relations between the United States and Ukraine sharply deteriorated. After
Ukraine expressed dissatisfaction with its exclusion from US-Russian
negotiations, President Trump claimed that Kyiv had the opportunity to conclude
a peace agreement with Russia in 2022 on more favorable terms. Trump also
criticized Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, questioning his popularity
and calling him a "dictator without elections." Trump claimed that
Zelenskyy "did a terrible job" of preventing a Russian invasion and
accused him of "persuading the United States to spend hundreds of billions
of dollars on a war that cannot be won." Trump urged the Ukrainian
president to hold presidential elections, effectively calling his legitimacy
into question. In response to the accusations, Zelenskyy claimed that Trump was
living in a "web of disinformation created by Russia" (Chitadze,
2025). Also in February 2025, President Trump expressed interest in acquiring
Ukrainian rare earth metals in exchange for US aid. He proposed a $500 billion
deal with Ukraine, under which Ukraine would provide the US with access to 50%
of its rare earth reserves (Chitadze, 2025). Joint development of rare earth
minerals with the US was one of the points in the "Victory Plan"
presented in September 2024 by President Volodymyr Zelenskyy to presidential
candidates Donald Trump and Kamala Harris. The plan, in particular, included a
proposal to "jointly protect the country's critical resources" and
jointly invest, which attracted Trump's attention. On February 12, 2025, nine
days after Trump announced the possibility of a deal, US Treasury Secretary
Scott Bessent arrived in Kyiv with a completed version of the agreement. The
text was handed over to the Ukrainian side only three hours before the meeting
with Zelenskyy, and during the negotiations, Bessent insisted on the immediate
signing of the document. The Ukrainian President categorically refused to sign
the document, citing its lack of security guarantees, and stated his readiness
to work on a "serious document" containing such guarantees. Zelenskyy
emphasized that Ukraine does not intend to hand over its natural resources for
free, but is willing to consider options for joint development with the United
States. The signing of the agreement was postponed until the Munich Security
Conference, held on February 14-16, where Ukraine submitted its amendments to
the agreement to the United States, further delaying its signing (Chitadze,
2025). As a result of the revisions, the document included a commitment by the
American side to "support the country's efforts to obtain security
guarantees for building a lasting peace."
On February 28,
2025, the first meeting between Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy and
President Donald Trump took place in Washington, D.C., during which an
agreement on the development of Ukrainian rare earth metals was planned to be
signed. However, the meeting in the Oval Office of the White House was marked
by an unprecedented public spat between Zelenskyy, Trump, and Vice President
J.D. Vance. Before the talks began, Trump expressed hope for a peace agreement,
adding that he maintains "excellent" relations with Russian President
Vladimir Putin, and the negotiators had already begun discussing the parameters
of a future agreement on Ukraine. The open spat between the presidents began
after Trump stated that Zelenskyy would have to compromise, while Vance called
on the Ukrainian president to reach a diplomatic solution with President Putin
to end hostilities. In response, Zelenskyy demanded security guarantees for
Kyiv, included Ukraine in the negotiation process to resolve the conflict with
Russia, accused Moscow of reneging on past agreements, and questioned the
possibility of diplomacy under the current circumstances. Vance, for his part,
accused Zelenskyy of ingratitude and pointed to Ukraine's problems with
mobilization (Chitadze, 2025). Trump, joining the dispute, also accused the
Ukrainian leader of disrespect and emphasized Ukraine's dependence on American
aid, raising his voice and threatening to withdraw support if he failed to
cooperate with US efforts to resolve the conflict. Zelenskyy publicly rejected
the possibility of concessions and demanded continued military support. After
the meeting escalated into open conflict, US officials asked the Ukrainian
delegation led by Zelenskyy to leave the White House, leading to the
cancellation of a planned lunch, press conference, and the signing of an
agreement on rare earth metals. Following the meeting, Trump declared Zelenskyy
unwilling to accept peace but allowed for the possibility of returning to
negotiations in the future.
On March 3, 2025,
Donald Trump ordered an indefinite suspension of all US military aid to
Ukraine, citing dissatisfaction with President Zelenskyy's commitment to peace
talks with Russia (Chitadze, 2025). The suspension also included arms and
ammunition deliveries that were already in transit or prepared for shipment to
Ukraine when the decree came into effect. Furthermore, the United States
partially halted the transfer of sensitive intelligence information to Ukraine.
In response to the suspension of American aid, Zelenskyy expressed regret over
the White House meeting, calling it "regrettable" and stating that it
"did not go as expected." He reaffirmed Ukraine's readiness to engage
in peace negotiations and emphasized his desire for "constructive
cooperation" with the United States. Zelenskyy also stated that Ukraine
remains ready to sign a mineral resource agreement with the United States
"at any time and in any convenient format."
Gaza War
Donald Trump wanted
to secure a deal between Israel and Hamas before his inauguration to avoid
inheriting a war in Gaza. He warned that if the hostages held by Hamas in the
Gaza Strip were not released by January 20, "all hell would break loose in
the Middle East." Prior to this, the Biden administration had been
unsuccessfully trying to broker a ceasefire in Gaza for over a year. The first
ceasefire, a few weeks after the October 7 attack, resulted in the release of
dozens of hostages, but subsequent efforts to end the fighting and secure the
release of additional hostages failed. On January 15, 2025, just days before
Trump was officially inaugurated, Israel and Hamas reached a ceasefire
agreement. Biden and Trump took credit for the agreement, while several media
sources placed responsibility for the peace deal on Trump and Middle East envoy
Steve Witkoff, reporting that the president-elect's team had "aggressively
pressured" Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu to accept the
agreement.
On February 4, 2025,
Trump and Netanyahu held their first meeting at the White House. At a press
conference following the talks, Trump stated that the United States would
"take control of the Gaza Strip" and seek to transform it into the
"Riviera of the Middle East" (Journal of Humanities, 2025). Trump
emphasized, however, that he did not believe Palestinian refugees should return
to the Gaza Strip. Instead, he proposed developing territories in neighboring
Arab countries that would eventually be occupied by the 1.8 million
Palestinians living in Gaza. Transatlantic Relations
During the election
campaign, Trump claimed that the European Union (EU) was created to harm the
United States and that Europe "treats us worse than our enemies." He
repeatedly questioned the wisdom of US spending on NATO, arguing that while Americans
protect the alliance's members, they "don't protect us." Trump
consistently pushed for an increase in NATO defense spending—first to 2%, then
to 5% of GDP—and warned that he would allow Russia to do "whatever it
wants" to NATO member states that had not reached that figure (Journal of
Humanities, 2025).
The rise of Donald
Trump was marked by a significant deterioration in relations between the US and
the EU. The Trump administration refused to uphold the post-World War II order
of interaction with Europe, leading to growing estrangement between the US and
Europe. The crisis was particularly acute in the approach to resolving the
Russian-Ukrainian war. The crisis in US-Europe relations has also acquired a
pronounced ideological dimension. The Trump administration has openly
criticized Europe not only on issues of collective defense, but also on trade,
migration policy, freedom of speech, and culture. A landmark moment in the
ideological clashes between the Trump administration and the EU leadership was
US Vice President J.D. Vance's speech at the Munich Security Conference on
February 14, 2025. Vance criticized the domestic policies of European
countries, declaring Europe's retreat from the fundamental values it shares
with the United States (Chitadze, 2025). The US Vice President's speech was
characterized as "a declaration of ideological and cultural war on
Europe," reinforcing the perception in the EU of Vance as an
"anti-European politician" more radical than Trump.
Trump's foreign
policy has sparked concern and discontent among EU leaders. In response to US
actions, the European Union began to reassess its strategy and role in the
world, seeking greater autonomy in defense and foreign policy. The crisis in
relations with the US also contributed to the rapprochement between the UK and
the EU after Brexit.
Conclusion
How Donald Trump's
second term as president will affect the world agenda - statements made during
the campaign and after his historic victory in the elections raise expectations
of global changes.
Particular attention
was paid to the declared priorities of foreign policy and the message of ending
the wars in Ukraine and the Middle East.
Even during the
election race, Trump saw the shadowy representatives of the government and
bureaucrats behind the problems in the country and the wrong foreign policy.
The so-called Deep State, he saw traces and promised to end it. Overall, many
experts consider the inauguration of the new US president a turning point in
the formation of a new world order.
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