A NEW ERA OF RUSSIAN TERROR IN THE EU
With the beginning of
his fifth presidential term, Vladimir Putin intensified his attempts to
influence the political elites of EU countries, which is leading to significant
destabilization in the region. Terrorist attacks have become one of the key
elements of this strategy, serving as a tool for reformatting power and
influencing neighboring countries. The first signal of the "new era of
terrorism" was the attack on the town hall in Crocus, which turned out to
be only the beginning of a large-scale campaign of terrorist attacks.
One of the most
striking examples of this strategy is the attempted murder of Slovak Prime
Minister Robert Fico. This incident is compared to the "Shot in
Sarajevo", which became the prologue to World War I. Such a scenario is
considered to be Putin's attempt to recreate the paradigm of the Russian Empire
from the beginning of the 20th century. However, the modern world and the West
do not respond to such actions in the same way as they did in 1914, despite
Russian propaganda efforts to demonize the West.
The activities of
Russian agents in EU countries and the USA, especially in the Republic of
Poland, where Russian groups of agents operate and where judge of the 2nd
Provincial Administrative Court Tomasz Schmidt and perhaps others... were
involved in espionage, show the scale of the secret war that Putin is waging.
Russian ideologue Oleksandr Dugin, known for his ultra-patriotic views and
closeness to Putin, interprets the assassination of Fico as a challenge to
globalist forces. However, the reality may be more prosaic: Russia may have
stopped supporting some of its satellites in an attempt to change the political
situation both in Russia itself and in allied countries.
According to
information, 71-year-old Juraj Tsintula, who attacked Fico, may be associated
with the pro-Russian paramilitary group Slovenský Branci, which cooperated with
the Russian "Night Wolves". This group has been operating in Slovakia
since 2012, and its members were trained by former Russian special forces.
This attempt is
beneficial neither to Ukraine nor to the West. Although Fico has openly
expressed his position on the Russian invasion, which contrasts with the
position of other European countries, his attack threatens a peace summit that
is important for Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky. This may complicate
further European support for Kiev in a military confrontation with Russia.
President Zelensky immediately reacted to this attempt, expressing shock and
concern.
The attack on Fico may
be a Russian operation "under a foreign flag" aimed at discrediting
Ukraine on the eve of the Peace Summit and the efforts of the Ukrainian
authorities to obtain security guarantees and assistance from the West.
However, there are
other versions of events. In particular, the possibility that the attack was
carried out by a lone fanatic dissatisfied with government policy. Radicalism
is once again gaining momentum in Europe, affecting electoral processes and the
overall state of the continent. The large number of migrants and displaced
persons from Russia creates an atmosphere of radicalism.
The situation in
Slovakia and other Russian satellite countries, such as Hungary, shows
deepening financial and social problems. Being in the orbit of Russian
influence only deepens these problems, causing public dissatisfaction. The
attack on Fico may be the result of banal population dissatisfaction caused by
economic and social difficulties.
There is one
conclusion: being a Russian satellite or partner is becoming more and more
dangerous. Putin's policy of reforming the political elites of allied countries
leads to increased instability and threats in the region, which may have
unpredictable consequences for the whole of Europe.
Wasyl Ostapiak – Ph.D., professor at the
Department of Public Management and Administration of the Ivano-Frankivsk
National Technical University of Oil and Gas (Ivano-Frankivsk, Ukraine)
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